DraftKings NFL DFS Picks For Week 7 Main Slate: Kyren Williams Is Ready to Work

The Week 7 NFL DFS slate features a ton of injuries. Key players are sidelined around the league, changing the fantasy football landscape. We have a good mix of value, high-end options and mid-range DFS options this weekend.

Let’s take a look.

Quarterback

Jordan Love @ Detroit Lions ($6,000)

The NFC North showdown between the Lions and Packers projects to be one of the most fantasy-friendly matchups of the entire slate. Love has scored multiple touchdowns in every game this season and could have had four or five touchdowns last week if it weren’t for some drops. Still, he’s playing lights out over the past three weeks, ranking:

8th in passer rating (101.8)
7th in CMP% (68.6%)
7th in Yd/Att (8.2)
8th in EPA/DB (0.277)
10th in FPPG (19.5)

He’s been attacking downfield with the duo of Christian Watson and Matthew Golden, as a league-high 20% of his passes have traveled 20-plus yards down the field during this stretch. That should continue this week against a Detroit secondary allowing a 15.9% explosive pass play rate (8th-worst).

We could see Green Bay try to get the ground game going in Josh Jacobs’ first game back, but this game feels like it should be a track meet with both offenses airing it out. Detroit is coughing up 27.8 fantasy points per game to opposing signal callers, the most in the NFL, as well as a league-high 320 passing yards per game. With Detroit also allowing the third-most points per drive (2.74), expect Love to have plenty of scoring opportunities in what should be a shootout.

Others to consider:

Jared Goff vs. GB ($6,800)
C.J. Stroud vs. NYG ($5,700)

Running Back

Kyren Williams @ Las Vegas Raiders ($7,000)

If you ask Kyren, he’d tell you a lot of the Rams’ issues on offense are because he’s not on the field. And while he played 71% of the snaps last week, Williams did see a season-low 13 touches, with 11 touches going the way of Blake Corum. The Rams offense underwhelmed against Arizona, only running 56 plays, well below their season average. Given the injuries surrounding this receiver room, the Rams offense may not be as potent as usual, but it should lead to more of an emphasis on Williams.

Davante Adams will miss the next 6-10 weeks, but now Puka Nacua (calf) may not play. With Adams out, the Rams are surely going to deploy even more 12 and 13 personnel than they usually do. Once he left last week’s game, Sean McVay heavily leaned on 12 and 13 personnel. Los Angeles deployed 13 personnel on 18 of 56 plays (32%), but that rate was much higher after Adams left the game.

With no wideouts that warrant targets after Nacua, I fully expect the Rams to mainly operate out of 12 and 13 personnel going forward, with an emphasis on the run game. Las Vegas is already a vulnerable run defense, surrendering the second-most rushing yards (113.7) and eighth-most fantasy points (21.6) per game to opposing backfields. But against 13 personnel in particular, they are allowing a league-high 5.3 yards per carry and 3.64 yards before contact per attempt.

Williams should be efficient on the ground this week, but if Nacua is also out, his floor for targets is probably around five or six. Against a Raiders defense allowing the eighth-most fantasy points per game to opposing backfields, Williams should be in store for a great day.

Woody Marks vs. New York Giants ($5,600)

Woody marks.webp

Given the matchup, I was strongly tempering expectations on Marks last week, despite being the lead option with David Montgomery out. Jacksonville is the best run defense in football, but Marks became the first running back to reach 40 rushing yards against them this season, so that’s cool. Week 6 presented the worst matchup for any fantasy running back. But this week?

Expectations no longer tempered.

For starters, we should see a large workload again for Marks. Last Week in London, Marks drew the start, operating as the clear workhorse. He played the first three drives before Jawhar Jordan even stepped onto the field. On the day, Marks ended up playing 77% of the snaps while handling 61% of the total rush attempts and 17 of 24 running back touches.

Not only is Montgomery once again out, but so is Jordan, meaning the Houston backfield will come down to Marks and Dare Ogunbowale, who mostly plays on passing downs. Marks should flirt with 20 touches against a Giants run defense surrendering 2.02 yards before contact per attempt this season, the fourth-highest mark in the NFL. The Giants are stuffing just 18.4% of runs at or behind the line of scrimmage, the ninth-lowest rate in football, while 11.6% of the runs against them have been explosive, the fourth-highest rate.

Others to consider:

Christian McCaffrey @ ATL ($7,600)
Bucky Irving @ CAR ($6,100)

Wide Receiver

Justin Jefferson @ Indianapolis Colts ($7,300)

Justin Jefferson.webp

Jefferson is coming off his bye, but when we last saw him in Week 5, he was starting to develop a nice rapport with Kyler Murray, catching six passes for 79 yards and a touchdown. It was his first full game with Murray under center this season, and in two full games this season, Jefferson has posted target shares of 41% and 24%.

The Vikings get a great Week 7 matchup, facing a vulnerable Indianapolis secondary that will be without Sauce Gardner. The Colts continue to play Cover-3 at one of the highest rates in the league, which bodes well for Jefferson, who is sporting a massive 43% TPRR against the coverage this season, while also averaging 3.26 yards per route run.

Jalen Coker vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers ($6,100)

Coker found himself in this article last week, but I’m going right back to the well for Week 7. He’s still not a household name, but Coker is honestly not the WR2 in Carolina.

Over his last eight full games alongside Tetairoa McMillan, Coker is averaging 7.6 targets, 5.7 receptions, 75.6 receiving yards and 16.8 PPR PPG. And in four games alongside each other so far this season, Coker has been targeted on 27% of his routes, compared to 21% for McMillan. And if you remove Week 3 where he ran just 33% of the routes, Coker has a target share north of 30%.

Since Carolina’s Week 15 bye last season, Coker has flat-out been more productive when sharing the field with McMillan. Brad Izik and the Panthers are giving us a very fantasy-friendly offense right now. Through six weeks, Carolina ranks top-five in dropback rate over expected (5%) and dropback rate from inside the 10-yard line (65%). Meanwhile, only the Cowboys are sporting a higher dropback rate when within three points than the Panthers (68%).

Coker gets a strong matchup against Tampa Bay’s pass funnel defense. 74.7% of the yards against the Bucs have come through the air, the third-highest rate in football. And after surrendering 11 catches to both DK Metcalf and Germie Bernard last week, Tampa Bay is now allowing the 13th-most FPPG to opposing wideouts.

Others to consider:

Matthew Golden @ DET ($6,000)
Zay Flowers vs. CIN ($6,900)
Chris Godwin @ CAR ($4,300)

Tight End

George Kittle @ Atlanta Falcons ($5,700)

Per usual, the 49ers are running out of wide receivers.

Time for Brock Purdy to once again rely on Kittle, who caught five passes for 69 yards and a touchdown last Monday. Mike Evans (Achilles) is unlikely to play, and although they will have Christian Kirk available for the first time this season, this passing game will continue to go through Kittle and Christian McCaffrey.

Because Evans has played through multiple injuries this season, there have been plenty of snaps where he’s been on the sidelines. And Kittle has been targeted on over 38% of his routes with Evans off the field this year, while three of his five touchdowns have come with Evans on the sideline. Already set for a boost in targets, Kittle is set to take on a Falcons defense surrendering 8.3 targets per game to opposing tight ends, good for the seventh-most in the NFL.

Others to consider: